Workshop 1: Decision Quality and Uncertainty

Instructor

Prof. Mohammed A. Mohammed

Strategy Unit - NHS

Learning Outcomes

• Understand the Role of Uncertainty in Decision-Making Processes
• Understand the Six Elements of Decision Quality
• Analyze and Manage Uncertainty in Decision Processes

Workshop 2: Communicating and Visualising Future Uncertainty

Instructor(s)

Dr. Nicola Rennie

Office for National Statistics

TBC

University

Learning Outcomes

• Understand how communicating uncertainty can increase trustworthiness
• Have an understanding of the language used to describe and communicate uncertainty
• Know when it is and isn’t appropriate to show uncertainty in visualisations
• Be able to follow best practices

Workshop 3: Quantifying Future Uncertainty

Instructor(s)

Prof. Bahman Rostami-Tabar

Cardiff University

Harsha Halgamuwe Hewage

Cardiff University

Learning Outcomes

• Explain key sources and types of uncertainty and their implications for modelling
• Apply appropriate methods to quantify and represent future uncertainty
• Evaluate forecast quality using proper statistical metrics and scoring rules
• Critically assess the assumptions and limitations of uncertainty quantification methods
• Interpret and use probabilistic forecasts to support analysis and decision-making

Workshop 4: Educating for an Uncertain Future: Pedagogies That Prepare Learners to Adapt

Instructor

Prof. Michelle Lazarus

Monash University

Learning Outcomes

• Understand where and how uncertainty arises in educational settings and how learners typically experience it.
• Interpret the evidence base on learners’ cognitive and emotional responses to uncertainty.
• Apply effective, research-informed strategies to help learners develop adaptive skills for managing uncertainty.
• Design a learning activity that intentionally incorporates uncertainty and supports learners in navigating that experience.

Workshop 5: Planning and Building for the Long-term When the Future Is Uncertain

Instructor

Prof. Peter Madden

Cardiff University

Learning Outcomes

• Understand how instability and uncertainty shape long-term decisions in the built environment.
• Examine practical and theoretical approaches for planning and designing resilient homes, neighbourhoods, and infrastructure.
• Evaluate strategies for making decisions today that remain robust under future conditions that are difficult to predict.
• Apply insights from real-world case studies to develop more adaptive and forward-looking planning practices.