Decision Quality and Uncertainty
Workshop
Decision Quality and Uncertainty
Instructor: Prof. Mohammed A. Mohammed, The Strategy Unit - NHS
Summary
This workshop explores how to make high-quality decisions in complex and uncertain environments. Participants will learn the six elements of decision quality, including clear objectives, meaningful alternatives, reliable information, sound reasoning, commitment to action, and alignment with values, and how these principles drive better outcomes.
The session examines practical tools for assessing uncertainty and probabilistic thinking to reduce risk and improve confidence in decision-making. Through interactive exercises and real-world examples, participants will gain insight into improving decision quality while working with uncertainty.
Instructor Bio
Professor Mohammed A. Mohammed is an academic with extensive experience in applied health services research, including quality of care, patient safety, and improvement science. He has published widely in leading journals and has delivered training on variation, systems thinking, improvement science, and mortality statistics to senior and front-line NHS staff.
He currently works in the NHS as Head of Innovation and Academic Partnerships at the Strategy Unit. His main focus is innovative decision-support systems, and he is also Emeritus Professor at the University of Bradford and Visiting Professor at Cardiff University.
Learning Outcomes
Understand the six elements of decision quality.
Analyse and manage uncertainty in decision processes.
Apply probabilistic thinking to improve decision-making effectiveness.
Session Structure
This two-hour interactive workshop introduces core ideas in decision-making and explores the role of uncertainty in enhancing decision quality.
Prerequisites
No prior knowledge is assumed.
Participants should have an interest in decision-making.
Pre-Reading
Materials
- Slides